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Apex PetroConsultants, LLC

Future of Olefins

8/15/2019

1 Comment

 
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Future of Olefins (ethylene, propylene etc.) is dependent on the historical, geo-political and environmental factors among others.
  • Historical factors include:
    • supply & demand
    • feedstock availability and pricing (crude oil and gas feed)
    • GDP growth
    • Population growth, more importantly growth of middle class in emerging and developing economies
    • Urbanization trends
  • Geo-political factors include:
    • Trade barriers
    • Tariffs
    • Middle east tensions
    • Sanctions regime
  • Environmental factors include:
    • Recovery of plastic waste
    • Recycling
    • Ban on single use plastics
    • Greenhouse Gas emissions & carbon taxation
    • Air quality in large urban centers
    • Climate change pressures
  • Renewables and electrification of transport systems
    • Oil majors are shifting their focus to petrochemicals and away from fuels. This is changing competitive landscape of petrochemicals industry
  • Large and complex facilities
    • High capital intensity
      • Leading to complex joint ventures
    • Developing and building these facilities within budget, schedule to achieve desired production and performance levels in reasonable timeframe
    • Operating safely, reliably and efficiently
  • Disruptive technologies
    • As an example, shale developments brought petrochemical industry renaissance in US based on feedstock advantage
    • Transportation systems
    • Sharing platforms (like Uber)
    • Models for supply chains including commercial transportation systems
    • Alternate energy sources

The petrochemical industry is expected to grow in foreseeable future to meet the quality of life needs of growing world population, middle class and urbanization. This growth will follow the GDP growth.
Industry needs to proactively address the environmental and sustainability issues through innovation and operate these facilities efficiently and reliably to meet the future competitive challenges.

​At Apex PetroChemicals, we help our clients to manage technical complexity and risk profile in a competitive and cyclical business environment. We bring the value of strategic thinking, specific industry insights, knowledge, and a depth of experience for olefins based petrochemical businesses to develop, build and operate best-in-class facilities.
1 Comment
David Timberlake
12/2/2019 05:38:21 pm

Good outline Sanjeev . I guess Mideast tensions might be relabeled as "Country Risk". The other "biggie" is currency. The stronger the currency the more dear the product is for export and the more costly for importing countries. Currency Risk. Currency levels vis-a-vis other currencies. Cheers

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    Author

    Sanjeev Kapur is Principal Consultant at Apex PetroConsultants. He focuses on consulting/advising olefins based petrochemical businesses. He is a leading expert in petrochemicals and integration.

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